This balance has been maintained at a huge cost to the people. A population growing at the rate of about 2% per year in the past decade should have quickly overtaken the pulses rate of growth which was less than half of that. This has not happened because the amount of pulses consumed per person has relentlessly declined over the past several decades.
This year the balance has been rudely and dramatically upset. In 2014-15, production of pulses was clocked in at 17.4 MMT - a decline of 2.4 MMT or 12% over the previous year.
- unseasonal rains,
- pests,
- unprofitable prices for offered to farmers even as
import duties were waived.
- This decline appears to have been seized
as an opportunity to make a quick killing by traders - both
domestic and global.
- There are reports of pulses stocks lying
in warehouses at ports as traders wait it out and allow shortages to pump
up prices even more.
- And, exporters
in touch with producers from Canada (mainly lentil or masur), Myanmar
(mainly tur) and Australia (mainly chickpeas or Kabuli chana) have
hiked up the rates because India is the biggest player in the pulses
import market.
- A lasting solution, of course, lies in
rationalising farm policy, with imports and exports as a vital ingredient
of it.
- Right now, with farmers getting Rs 15,000
per hectare of subsidies for growing wheat and rice, and none for pulses –
which actually helps fix nitrogen levels in the soil – it is obvious the
incentives structure is all wrong.
- Indeed, pulses have a double risk as they
are grown on largely unirrigated land (drought risk) and on most
occasions, with market prices falling below the minimum support price,
there is significant market risk as well.
- Instead of a difficult-to-run price
stabilization fund (temporary solution), it would be better to either
build up buffer stocks (long term solution) to prevent this kind of price
surge, or to give crop-neutral cash subsidies to wean farmers away from wheat
and rice.
- Any policy that does not address these
issues will have only a short term impact.